Big Daddy's Eagles-Giants Preview
The Eagles are 4-6 against the Giants under Andy Reid. However, five of those losses came in Reid's first two seasons, where the Birds were wrapping up 9 straight losses to their foes from the Meadowlands. Since then, the Eagles have gone 4-1 over the past two and a half seasons against the Giants with the sole loss coming at the end of last year with no McNabb and horrid play calling by Andy Reid. The tide remains turned in the Eagles' favor after this year's win in NY, and Eagles fans can expect to win this weekend's struggle against Fassel's floundering and injured squad (Hilliard is listed as questionable and did not practice Thursday, and Shockey and Brown are both out for Sunday). But, what will this weekend's game look like?
If past history is an indicator of the future, there are three things to watch for on Sunday, besides an Eagles' victory:
- Downright sloppy football.
- Critical special teams contributions.
- Lots of Giants ground yardage.
In the last ten PHI-NYG matchups, only three have been won by more than 10 points (those other seven by less than five). Even as far back as the 1999 losing days, the headlines read, "Eagles' collapse opens door for Giants" and "Giants win ugly, thanks to Eagles." The observation from the second of those matchups: "For more than three hours, the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles tried to find a way to lose," has held true in about half of the last ten games, especially the one the Eagles' stole from the Giants on Monday Night in 2001 and this year's last minute Westbrook Special. So, don't expect to see pretty football. While Collins only has one interception against the Eagles, the Giants
do fumble the ball (the Eagles have only been net negative in fumbles twice in the ten matchups). The Eagles' sloppiness has mostly been confined to an unproductive offense and more interceptions (with at least two turning into immediate touchdowns).
Without a doubt, the special teams will dominate the outcome. From big kickoff and punt returns (Dixon's 97 yarder in 2000 comes to mind, as does the recent aforementioned Westbrook game saver four games ago) to field goals and extra points, special teams will contribute a significant quantity of points. Total special teams points (PAT's, FG's, and RETTD's) have accounted for 42% of the scoring in these recent NYG-PHI matchups. With the return of Westbrook and Brian Mitchell's dead-last-in-the-league kick and punt return averages (20.5 and 4.2 yd/ret), the Eagles have the clear edge in return performance. And, despite Akers' miss of a tough 40+ yarder in the rain and into the wind vs. The Pack Monday, he still has the edge over the Giants' Matt Bryant, who is "questionable" for the game.
Finally, the Giants should produce a lot of offense on the ground. In fact, the Eagles have only had more total and ground offense in two of the last ten games against the Giants, once winning and once losing. The clock has favored the Giants in those same ten games, 353 - 255 total minutes, with the Eagles only winning that stat in one game last year. With the Eagles giving up 180, 125, 131, and 241 rushing yards in each of the last four games of this season (the first of which was vs. the Giants), they're not exactly poised to stop the Giants's ground attack on Sunday.
If the Eagles can duck the bad karma of the black uniforms and home field disadvantage at the Linc, this game sways in favor of the Eagles - not only because of their owning the Giants these days, but because the Giants are clearly playing worse football (they lost to the Falcons!) and have a stiff for a kick/punt returner.
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Big Daddy B